Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 15.163778 17.184496 19.322750 21.748647 24.419065 27.263541 30.517022
2025-01-19 11.565818 14.226869 17.228498 20.844721 25.061737 29.802119 35.510876
2025-01-26 9.917179 13.117791 16.935168 21.775603 27.697552 34.652510 43.379457
2025-02-02 9.092607 12.824749 17.498190 23.688938 31.573324 41.172557 53.624373
2025-02-09 8.092209 12.139326 17.446657 24.768965 34.443225 46.609442 62.863123
2025-02-16 6.954429 11.091866 16.769449 24.916110 36.061127 50.508041 70.341117
2025-02-23 5.850755 9.922744 15.767269 24.479871 36.803469 53.241733 76.389036
2025-03-02 4.992137 8.982651 14.960468 24.195943 37.667084 56.109937 82.680445
2025-03-09 4.374471 8.320363 14.470372 24.286783 39.007117 59.632290 89.951232
2025-03-16 3.777293 7.601483 13.804140 24.029443 39.783387 62.356512 96.185346
2025-03-23 3.542181 7.462191 14.027007 25.129694 42.601620 68.074869 106.820979
2025-03-30 3.183899 7.051720 13.757548 25.413247 44.171341 72.022700 115.046686
2025-04-06 2.668115 6.286233 12.830247 24.585449 44.015033 73.489449 119.851890
2025-04-13 2.212492 5.561274 11.888791 23.642164 43.595921 74.518137 124.032793
2025-04-20 2.086681 5.488849 12.115257 24.709334 46.481680 80.708937 136.171313
2025-04-27 2.102490 5.720367 12.926251 26.852888 51.247394 89.994495 153.318232
2025-05-04 2.001939 5.679921 13.210012 28.063638 54.499514 97.014280 167.209501
2025-05-11 1.798675 5.372680 12.938951 28.235215 55.980702 101.263506 176.935205
2025-05-18 1.557193 4.931404 12.348304 27.756819 56.294819 103.624628 183.756423
2025-05-25 1.361488 4.565803 11.870142 27.445039 56.865732 106.400066 191.292097
2025-06-01 1.222923 4.321293 11.619761 27.547592 58.163797 110.396746 200.870380
2025-06-08 1.072243 4.013725 11.194857 27.263277 58.729449 113.169921 208.530483
2025-06-15 1.037265 4.029057 11.500680 28.483828 62.129331 120.848467 224.418583